A week ago the second president of RA Robert Kocharyan, speaking about the possible return to big-time politics, noted that it can occur in the presence of three factors. Kocharyan noted absence of considerable improvement of economy and welfare of people and, as a result, emigration growth; demand for its return to big-time politics from various public layers; his internal conviction that it can cardinally improve a situation.
There is still the fourth factor about which Robert Kocharyan didn't start talking but which can have big impact on its decision to return to big-time politics. It is a question of real estate of Armenia reigning in the market and, in particular, Yerevan unfavourable, it is possible to tell, a disturbing situation. It is known that Kocharyan is personally interested in development of this market, and it can't be as the detached onlooker.
Statistically, only in August of this year in Yerevan recession of the prices for apartments made 4 %, and in comparison with 2008г. (after Kocharyan's leaving from a position of the president) – 15 %. It in dramovy expression as supernumeraries compare the prices in dramas and say that the prices decreased on 44 thousand драмов counting on one square meter. And if recession of the prices to compare in a dollar equivalent, it is possible to tell that it makes nearly 25 %, as in comparison with 2008г. the dollar depreciated for 20 %. But there is more to come: experts say that recession of the prices for real estate will have permanent character as demand for apartments several times concedes to the offer that should influence market structure.
In one of the interviews given two years ago, Robert Kocharyan, speaking about economic policy of the government, told that the government to make active economy, should create demand for apartments that doesn't become at appropriate level. Undertaken by the government within the last two years steps show that there ignored Robert Kocharyan's criticism, differently the prices for apartments not only wouldn't decrease, but at least remained at the same level.
We can't tell, as far as Kocharyan will manage to improve state of the economy and people, to stop emigration, but is unequivocal that having returned to the power, it can suspend recession of the prices in the real estate market for it has a ready recipe of the solution of this question. It is known that in days of the power it was possible to Kocharyan to provide great demand for real estate. It wasn't so difficult. Kocharyan knew a livestock of the corrupted officials in the country, approximately knew, what at them the shadow income and, respectively, forced them to buy the apartment in a soovetstviye with the income. Result was that the construction sphere really prospered, and the economy developed in two-place figures. According to the statistics data of the CIS, on volumes of construction of apartments per capita Armenia is on the first place, and it in that case when in the country there is a big outflow of people.
Officials didn't need so many apartments, but they preferred to buy them, rather than to say goodbye to the so pleasant positions, borrowing which they got not only unnecessary apartments, but also many other necessary things. As in Armenia there was a solvent demand, also the offer on apartments therefore the prices constantly rose automatically was born. On a rise in prices the role was played by favourite effect of animation of Kocharyan: many considered apartment acquisition in Yerevan as successful capital investment.
Today nobody forces officials to buy apartments, moreover, they started to expose the acquired real estate therefore the market was sated that led to recession of the prices on sale. This recession can be even deeper, if the part engaged in construction doesn't wait for Kocharyan's return: many of them believe that old and kind times still will return.
In a word, the market of real estate of Yerevan, despite relative recession, is in an expectation condition: if Kocharyan really returns, there will be a serious lifting, otherwise collapse is inevitable.
There is still the fourth factor about which Robert Kocharyan didn't start talking but which can have big impact on its decision to return to big-time politics. It is a question of real estate of Armenia reigning in the market and, in particular, Yerevan unfavourable, it is possible to tell, a disturbing situation. It is known that Kocharyan is personally interested in development of this market, and it can't be as the detached onlooker.
Statistically, only in August of this year in Yerevan recession of the prices for apartments made 4 %, and in comparison with 2008г. (after Kocharyan's leaving from a position of the president) – 15 %. It in dramovy expression as supernumeraries compare the prices in dramas and say that the prices decreased on 44 thousand драмов counting on one square meter. And if recession of the prices to compare in a dollar equivalent, it is possible to tell that it makes nearly 25 %, as in comparison with 2008г. the dollar depreciated for 20 %. But there is more to come: experts say that recession of the prices for real estate will have permanent character as demand for apartments several times concedes to the offer that should influence market structure.
In one of the interviews given two years ago, Robert Kocharyan, speaking about economic policy of the government, told that the government to make active economy, should create demand for apartments that doesn't become at appropriate level. Undertaken by the government within the last two years steps show that there ignored Robert Kocharyan's criticism, differently the prices for apartments not only wouldn't decrease, but at least remained at the same level.
We can't tell, as far as Kocharyan will manage to improve state of the economy and people, to stop emigration, but is unequivocal that having returned to the power, it can suspend recession of the prices in the real estate market for it has a ready recipe of the solution of this question. It is known that in days of the power it was possible to Kocharyan to provide great demand for real estate. It wasn't so difficult. Kocharyan knew a livestock of the corrupted officials in the country, approximately knew, what at them the shadow income and, respectively, forced them to buy the apartment in a soovetstviye with the income. Result was that the construction sphere really prospered, and the economy developed in two-place figures. According to the statistics data of the CIS, on volumes of construction of apartments per capita Armenia is on the first place, and it in that case when in the country there is a big outflow of people.
Officials didn't need so many apartments, but they preferred to buy them, rather than to say goodbye to the so pleasant positions, borrowing which they got not only unnecessary apartments, but also many other necessary things. As in Armenia there was a solvent demand, also the offer on apartments therefore the prices constantly rose automatically was born. On a rise in prices the role was played by favourite effect of animation of Kocharyan: many considered apartment acquisition in Yerevan as successful capital investment.
Today nobody forces officials to buy apartments, moreover, they started to expose the acquired real estate therefore the market was sated that led to recession of the prices on sale. This recession can be even deeper, if the part engaged in construction doesn't wait for Kocharyan's return: many of them believe that old and kind times still will return.
In a word, the market of real estate of Yerevan, despite relative recession, is in an expectation condition: if Kocharyan really returns, there will be a serious lifting, otherwise collapse is inevitable.
